I don’t think anyone is expecting all of our beloved characters to come out of the final season of Game Of Thrones unscathed.

The show has a long history of killing people off when we least expect it (see Red Wedding) which makes it the unpredictable – and ultimately gripping – TV show it is.

A number of cast members have gone on record saying the finale was “bittersweet” – which can only mean that there will be at least some resolution, although it’s likely to be at a cost.

And what’s the highest price of all? Death, of course.

But while we can only speculate as to who makes it out alive, science – you know that ever reliable thing – has predicted who will live and who will die.

A new study, published in the journal Injury Epidemiology, aims to decipher just how likely characters are to die on the show.

The study recorded data on 330 characters, like their social status and religious beliefs, from each episode of the show so far, taking note of the circumstances of their death.

According to the study, switching allegiance makes you more likely to survive, whereas sticking to your beliefs increases chances of death.

That means Daenerys Targaryen could be in some seriously hot water.

Females and “highborns” were more likely to stay alive than male characters or poor characters, which could mean the fickle-minded backstabbing current queen of Westeros, Cersei Lannister, could be in for quite the season.

For the men, Tyrion Lannister, Jon Snow and Jaime Lannister all have increased chances of survival due to their social status and allegiance-swapping tendencies.

Remarkably, one in seven main characters were found to have died within the first hour of being introduced. The quickest death occurred in just 11 seconds.

The average character, however, spent just under 29 hours on the screen. Injuries accounted for nearly three-quarters of all deaths, in particular, wounds of the head and neck, including 13 decapitations. Only two deaths were from natural causes, with the remainder resulting from burns, poisonings, assault, and war.

Study author Reidar Lystad said:

“The risk of death is high among characters in Game of Thrones.

By the end of the seventh season, more than half of the characters had died – 186 out of the 330 characters we included in this study – with violent deaths being the most common by far.”

It remains to be seen what happens, but all we can say is expect the unexpected.

Could Cersei really play everyone and end up outlasting them all?

Say it ain’t so.

H/T: IFL Science

Images via HBO